Why Awareness of the Coming Great Depression Is Vital for Success in the 2030s (2024)

ITR Economics has been talking about the coming 2030s Great Depression since the 2014 release of our book “Prosperity in the Age of Decline.” Now, 10 years later, many people are still unaware of the challenges the next decade will bring.

Many will be caught off guard by the coming depression. If they do not have plans in place, individuals and their businesses will face serious trouble in the 2030s. Here are just a few of the key reasons why being aware of the upcoming Great Depression will be vital for your success in navigating it.

You Will Not Get Caught in the Moment

Following the mild recession we are forecasting for 2024, there will be good economic times ahead for the rest of the 2020s. In this time of economic growth, many will get caught up in simply enjoying the ride up, like an escalator that never ends. But the economy is more like a rollercoaster; there is always a peak and a trough in the business cycle.

It is human nature to live in the moment, but business leaders who go along as if the good times are here to stay are going to be hit harder in the 2030s. This could lead to troubled times for their employees as well.

It is important to note that in times of economic decline, the inverse of the above can also happen. As companies navigate through a recession or depression, CEOs and executives can develop a gloomy outlook for the future and feel depressed, which can bring down the morale of all their employees.

By looking at our forecasts, seeing the future, and knowing what is ahead, you can put plans in place to capitalize on the economic growth in this decade. You can make effective plans to operate throughout the depression and build a strategy to capitalize on the opportunities that will follow the depression. You will not be caught off guard at any stage.

You Will Not Fall for the Recovery ‘Fake-Outs’

ITR Economics is projecting that the next Great Depression will begin in 2030 and last well into 2036. However, we do not expect a simple, completely downward trend throughout those years. There will be signs of slight growth that pop up during this period. Many will mistake these for the onset of a sustained recovery, only to be crushed by the false hope.

These false signals could be demoralizing for anyone. To get your hopes up due to false signs and to then have those hopes dashed could open you up to negative thinking. This attitude could impact the team behind your business and ultimately lead to a collective despair – an underlying belief that the depression will never end. With such a mindset, you will be too focused on the negative and miss out on the opportunities that will come down the line.

By knowing the timeline that ITR Economics is forecasting for the 2030s, you will know what the real signs of recovery are so you can have a sound strategy to deploy when the economic recovery begins.

[ Further Reading: What Will the World Look Like After the 2030s Great Depression? ]

You Will Stay Optimistic Throughout the Depression

Even with plans in place, the 2030s will not be a walk in the park. It will be a difficult time for many, with or without a strategy in place. However, with successful planning, it will be easier to stay optimistic throughout the 2030s, as you will know when the bad times will end. In addition, you will be positioned to focus on markets that will still rise, or at least decline relatively less severely, during the downturn.

As a business leader, you will need to have a strong plan in place and communicate and reinforce that plan to your team as often as necessary. At the same time, you will need to remain flexible and communicate any adjustments that have to be made.

By maintaining a communicative and optimistic spirit throughout the depression, you will benefit your team immensely; employees feed off the energy and confidence of their leadership.

Helping businesses plan for the future and navigate the economic ups and downs is what ITR Economics does best. Preparing for the 2030s Great Depression starts with a full awareness of what the next decade will bring. If this is the first time you are hearing about the next economic depression, reach out to us to see how we can help you prepare yourself, your family, and your business.

Why Awareness of the Coming Great Depression Is Vital for Success in the 2030s (2024)

FAQs

Why is it important to know about the Great Depression? ›

Further, the Great Depression shows the important roles that money, banks and the stock market play in our economy. A third reason to study the Great Depression is that it dramatically changed the role of government, especially the federal government, in our nation's economy.

Is there a Great Depression coming in 2030? ›

You Will Not Fall for the Recovery 'Fake-Outs' ITR Economics is projecting that the next Great Depression will begin in 2030 and last well into 2036. However, we do not expect a simple, completely downward trend throughout those years. There will be signs of slight growth that pop up during this period.

Why was the Great Depression such an important global event? ›

Although it originated in the United States, the Great Depression caused drastic declines in output, severe unemployment, and acute deflation in almost every country of the world.

How did the Great Depression affect the future economy? ›

The U.S. economy shrank by a third from the beginning of the Great Depression to the bottom four years later. Real GDP fell 29% from 1929 to 1933. The unemployment rate reached a peak of 25% in 1933. Consumer prices fell 25%; wholesale prices plummeted 32%.

What is the most important lesson from the Great Depression? ›

People who didn't have enough savings stashed away ended up broke, unemployed and saddled with debt. One of the most important lessons to take away from the Depression is that anything can happen, and it's always a good idea to plan ahead.

How did the Great Depression change American society? ›

As stocks continued to fall during the early 1930s, businesses failed, and unemployment rose dramatically. By 1932, one of every four workers was unemployed. Banks failed and life savings were lost, leaving many Americans destitute. With no job and no savings, thousands of Americans lost their homes.

What will happen in 2030? ›

By 2030 the average person in the U.S. will have 4.5 packages a week delivered with flying drones. They will travel 40% of the time in a driverless car, use a 3D printer to print hyper-individualized meals, and will spend most of their leisure time on an activity that hasn't been invented yet.

How long is it until the next Great Depression? ›

The next Great Depression will start in 2030 and likely last through 2036. After this six-year period of economic decline, it will take roughly four years to fully climb up from that low point and get to where we were before the Great Depression began.

What is the economic outlook for 2030? ›

From 2021 to 2030, output is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 1.7 percent, roughly the same rate as potential growth. That average growth rate of output is less than its long-term historical average, primarily because the labor force is expected to grow more slowly than it has in the past.

Why is the Great Depression so significant in American economic history? ›

At the height of the Depression in 1933, 24.9% of the nation's total work force, 12,830,000 people, were unemployed. Wage income for workers who were lucky enough to have kept their jobs fell 42.5% between 1929 and 1933. It was the worst economic disaster in American history.

Did anyone benefit from the Great Depression? ›

Not everyone, however, lost money during the worst economic downturn in American history. Business titans such as William Boeing and Walter Chrysler actually grew their fortunes during the Great Depression.

Why is the Great Depression remembered? ›

One reason to study the Great Depression is that it was by far the worst economic catastrophe of the 20th century and, perhaps, the worst in our nation's history.

What is the legacy of the Great Depression? ›

The Great Depression's legacy includes social programs, regulatory agencies, and government efforts to influence the economy and money supply.

Who was most affected by the Great Depression? ›

The problems of the Great Depression affected virtually every group of Americans. No group was harder hit than African Americans, however. By 1932, approximately half of African Americans were out of work.

What are the three causes of the Great Depression? ›

The causes of the Great Depression included the stock market crash of 1929, bank failures, and a drought that lasted throughout the 1930s. During this time, the nation faced high unemployment, people lost their homes and possessions, and nearly half of American banks closed.

Why should the Great Depression be taught in schools? ›

The Great Depression, in particular, is an event that provides the opportunity to teach and learn a great deal about economics—whether you're studying the economic reasons that the Depres- sion took place, the factors that helped it come to an end or the impact on Americans who lived through it.

What do you think was the most important cause of the Great Depression Why? ›

Among the suggested causes of the Great Depression are: the stock market crash of 1929; the collapse of world trade due to the Smoot-Hawley Tariff; government policies; bank failures and panics; and the collapse of the money supply.

Why was the Great Depression important quizlet? ›

The Great Depression was a worldwide economic crisis that in the United States was marked by widespread unemployment, near halts in industrial production and construction, and an 89 percent decline in stock prices.

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